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Muslim Views

Saudi wealth, strategic dependence and the high price of borrowed power

19 September 2026 - Updated on 14 October 2026
in Guest Writer, World
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Saudi wealth, strategic dependence and the high price of borrowed power

Black smoke is evident over an area of the East-West Saudi pipeline south of Madinah after a Houthi attack. Photo: European Union/Copernicus Sentinel-3

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By PROFESSOR JUNAID S AHMAD

Saudi Arabia’s reported turn to Israeli intelligence against Ansarallah exposes a deeper contradiction: a kingdom with immense wealth and advanced weaponry remains strategically dependent on the US-led security architecture it inhabits.

Sometimes an entire political order confesses itself in a single telephone call.

Saudi Arabia, custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, self-appointed pillar  of Arab leadership and purchaser of some of the most expensive weaponry  ever manufactured, has reportedly found itself seeking Israeli  intelligence assistance through US Central Command (CENTCOM) against Ansarallah in Yemen. The Jerusalem Post reports that CENTCOM-mediated discussions  concerned intelligence that could help Riyadh understand Ansarallah deployments and future operations.

There is something almost indecently perfect about the image.

For decades, the Saudi state cultivated the mythology of sovereignty while constructing one of the most elaborate systems of strategic  dependency in modern history. Washington supplied the security  architecture. Western contractors supplied the weapons. Foreign technicians sustained the machinery. American bases anchored the  regional order. Oil revenue financed the spectacle.

Riyadh bought nearly everything power was supposed to look like.

It apparently forgot to buy power.

That omission becomes difficult to conceal when a Yemeni movement  battered for years by Saudi airpower, American and British strikes, and Israeli attacks can still impose strategic costs on a kingdom whose  military expenditure dwarfs its own. Whatever one thinks of Ansar  Allah’s ideology or domestic rule, its endurance has transformed it from  a movement Riyadh once imagined it could bomb into submission into a  force capable of shaping Saudi calculations.

The contrast is brutal: one side possesses palaces, Patriot batteries,  consultants and procurement contracts; the other possesses missiles,  drones, geography, discipline and a demonstrated willingness to endure.

A satellite image shows a fire-damaged facility on the East-West pipeline, south-east of Madinah. Photo: Planet Labs

Only one of those packages automatically generates strategic autonomy.

Saudi Arabia’s predicament became still more vivid after drone attacks  damaged its East-West oil pipeline, forcing shipment reductions and  suspending loadings at Yanbu. The artery designed to insulate the  kingdom from Gulf vulnerability suddenly became another vulnerability.  European customers scrambled for replacement barrels while Riyadh  confronted the elementary fact that infrastructure worth billions  remains infrastructure somebody can hit.

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This is where the cliché of the “Shia Crescent” becomes analytically  revealing.

Washington, Tel Aviv and their regional partners have traditionally  presented Iran’s network of allies as an aberration to be dismantled: Hezbollah in Lebanon, Iraqi armed factions, Ansarallah in Yemen, and  other forces clustered around what supporters call the Axis of  Resistance. Yet the durability of that network has exposed something the  Gulf security model would prefer not to discuss.

Iran built influence through relationships capable of surviving  punishment.

The Gulf monarchies built influence through invoices.

One model is far poorer, far rougher and frequently coercive. The other  possesses sovereign wealth funds, skyscrapers and excellent branding  departments. But when regional power is measured by the ability to alter  an adversary’s behaviour, absorb retaliation and continue operating, the  supposedly primitive model has repeatedly proved harder to neutralise  than the gleaming one.

That is precisely why Riyadh turning towards Israeli intelligence is so  politically revealing.

Israel is not entering this architecture as some neutral technical  consultant. It is a military power whose regional strategy is deeply  intertwined with American primacy and whose mass murder campaigns have  generated extraordinary political anger across the Arab and Muslim  worlds. Yet portions of the Arab security establishment are becoming  more operationally intertwined with it. Military chiefs from Israel,  Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Jordan and Egypt recently  met in Germany under CENTCOM auspices to discuss regional security  cooperation and the conflict with Iran.

So much for the old theatre.

For years, Gulf rulers perfected the choreography of denouncing Israel  rhetorically while embedding themselves ever more deeply inside the  American security architecture that guarantees Israeli military  predominance. Palestine supplied the speeches; Washington supplied the  command structure; Western arsenals supplied the hardware.

Now even the choreography is becoming unnecessary.

The deeper indictment belongs to the imperial system that produced this  dependency. American power in West Asia has rarely required formal  colonies when client states, military bases, arms dependence and  security guarantees could accomplish much the same strategic purpose  more elegantly. The genius of modern empire is that the subordinate is  permitted a flag, an anthem and a sovereign wealth fund.

What it is not permitted is genuine strategic independence.

The Saudi monarchy embodies that contradiction exquisitely. It possesses  almost unimaginable wealth yet repeatedly discovers that wealth cannot  manufacture legitimacy, geographic depth, political cohesion or  autonomous deterrence. Its rulers can purchase aircraft by the squadron  and consultants by the battalion, but neither can solve the underlying  problem: a state dependent on an external hegemon for its security  remains dependent however magnificent the palace.

Meanwhile, the resistance axis that Washington, Israel and Riyadh have  spent years trying to isolate persists precisely because destruction has  repeatedly failed to produce submission. That does not make every actor within it virtuous. It does make the central strategic fact impossible to dismiss.

They endured. And endurance has become the currency their adversaries cannot print. That is why the reported Saudi appeal for Israeli intelligence matters.  It is not merely a wartime arrangement. It is an X-ray of the regional order. The palaces have the money. Washington has the architecture. Israel has  the intelligence. And the men they spent years dismissing as an expendable nuisance have  somehow acquired the one thing no arms contract can deliver: the power to make the palace call for help.

 

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